Annual Probability of Attempted Home Break-In

The Bureau of Justice Statistics reports that approximately 1.4% of US households (about 1.8 million) experience a completed or attempted burglary each year. The burglary rate has declined dramatically: down about 60% since the early 1990s and continuing to fall. This decline is attributed to improved home security technology, better policing strategies, and demographic changes.

About 62% of residential burglaries are completed (the burglar gains entry), while 38% are attempted but unsuccessful. The average property loss per burglary is approximately $2,800. Burglaries are most common during summer months and weekday daytime hours. The clearance rate (burglaries resulting in arrest) is only about 14%, one of the lowest among major crime categories.

Modern security measures have significantly reduced risk. Homes with security systems are 300% less likely to be burglarized. Smart home technology (video doorbells, WiFi cameras, smart locks) has made home security more accessible and affordable. Package delivery cameras have also served as a deterrent. Other effective measures include strong exterior doors (deadbolts), secured windows, motion-activated lighting, visible security signs/cameras, not advertising absence on social media, and participation in neighborhood watch programs.