The World's Probability Database
Real-world probabilities backed by government data, peer-reviewed research, and official statistics. Know the odds before you decide.
Browse by Category
Health & Disease
Probabilities related to diseases, medical conditions, and health outcomes including cancer, heart disease, and other major illnesses.
234 factsAccidents & Injuries
Odds of accidental death and injury from motor vehicles, falls, drowning, poisoning, and other unintentional causes.
112 factsNatural Disasters
Probabilities of experiencing earthquakes, tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, and other natural catastrophic events.
17 factsAviation & Travel
Risk statistics for air travel, commercial flights, and transportation-related incidents.
11 factsCrime & Safety
Statistics on crime victimization, burglary, identity theft, violent crime, and personal safety.
40 factsFinancial & Career
Probabilities related to IRS audits, bankruptcy, job loss, business success, and financial milestones.
34 factsLife Events
Odds of major life events including marriage, divorce, having twins, and other personal milestones.
47 factsWeather & Environment
Probabilities of lightning strikes, extreme weather events, and environmental hazards.
15 factsRare Events
Extremely unlikely events including lottery wins, shark attacks, meteorite strikes, and other long-shot odds.
36 factsDemographics & Longevity
Life expectancy data, actuarial statistics, and demographic probability data from the Social Security Administration.
424 factsFeatured Probabilities
10-Year Death Risk for a 76-Year-Old Female
SSA-derived 2022 life-table estimate: a 76-year-old female has a 39.65% (about 1 in 3) chance of dying within 10 years.
Demographics & Longevity
10-Year Death Risk for a 77-Year-Old Male
SSA-derived 2022 life-table estimate: a 77-year-old male has a 53.56% (about 1 in 2) chance of dying within 10 years.
Demographics & Longevity
10-Year Death Risk for a 77-Year-Old Female
SSA-derived 2022 life-table estimate: a 77-year-old female has a 43.20% (about 1 in 2) chance of dying within 10 years.
Demographics & Longevity
10-Year Death Risk for a 78-Year-Old Male
SSA-derived 2022 life-table estimate: a 78-year-old male has a 57.42% (about 1 in 2) chance of dying within 10 years.
Demographics & Longevity
10-Year Death Risk for a 78-Year-Old Female
SSA-derived 2022 life-table estimate: a 78-year-old female has a 46.98% (about 1 in 2) chance of dying within 10 years.
Demographics & Longevity
10-Year Death Risk for a 79-Year-Old Male
SSA-derived 2022 life-table estimate: a 79-year-old male has a 61.39% (about 1 in 2) chance of dying within 10 years.
Demographics & Longevity
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