Accidents & Injuries
Odds of accidental death and injury from motor vehicles, falls, drowning, poisoning, and other unintentional causes.
75 probabilities in this category
Annual Probability of Being Hit by a Vehicle as a Pedestrian
About 104,000 pedestrians are injured and 7,500 killed by vehicles each year in the US. Pedestrian deaths have risen 77% since 2010.
Annual Probability of Being Involved in a Road Rage Incident
About 80% of drivers report experiencing significant anger behind the wheel annually. About 8% engage in aggressive driving that could constitute road rage.
Annual Probability of CO Detector Alarm at Home
About 5% of homes with CO detectors experience an alarm each year. Most are from malfunctioning furnaces or improper ventilation.
Annual Probability of Carbon Monoxide Poisoning
About 100,000 Americans visit the ER for carbon monoxide exposure each year, with about 430 dying from non-fire-related CO poisoning.
Annual Probability of Child Drowning (Ages 1-4)
Drowning is the leading cause of death for children ages 1-4. About 750 children under 15 drown each year, with pools being the top location.
Annual Probability of Death from Sports/Recreation
About 8,000 Americans die each year from sports and recreational activities, with drowning and cycling being the deadliest.
Annual Probability of Distracted Walking Injury
About 2,500 pedestrians are injured each year from distracted walking (using phones), with ER visits for phone-related pedestrian injuries tripling since 2010.
Annual Probability of Dying in a House Fire
About 2,840 Americans die in home fires each year. Cooking is the leading cause, and lack of smoke alarms is the deadliest factor.
Annual Probability of Electrical Shock Injury at Home
About 30,000 non-fatal electrical shock incidents occur in the US each year, with about 400 electrocution deaths.
Annual Probability of Elevator or Escalator Injury
About 17,000 injuries and 30 deaths from elevators and escalators occur in the US each year.
Annual Probability of Fall Requiring ER Visit (Over 65)
About 10% of adults over 65 visit the ER for a fall-related injury each year. Falls are the leading cause of injury death for this age group.
Annual Probability of Getting a Concussion
About 3.8 million concussions occur in the US each year from all causes, with sports and falls being the leading causes.
Annual Probability of Getting a Flat Tire
About 220 million flat tires occur annually in the US (roughly 7% of drivers per year). Road debris and potholes are leading causes.
Annual Probability of Glass-Related Injury
About 900,000 Americans suffer glass-related injuries each year, including cuts from broken drinking glasses, windows, and doors.
Annual Probability of Home Electrical Fire
About 46,700 home electrical fires occur annually, causing 390 deaths and $1.5 billion in property damage.
Annual Probability of Injury for Gig Workers
About 5% of rideshare and delivery gig workers experience a work-related injury each year, often without workers' compensation coverage.
Annual Probability of Motorcycle Accident for Riders
About 4% of motorcycle riders are involved in a reported accident each year. Motorcyclists are 29 times more likely to die per mile than car occupants.
Annual Probability of Pet Poisoning
About 3% of pet-owning households deal with a pet poisoning incident each year. The ASPCA Poison Control receives 400,000+ calls annually.
Annual Probability of Spinal Cord Injury
About 18,000 new spinal cord injuries occur in the US each year, most commonly from vehicle crashes and falls.
Annual Probability of Traumatic Brain Injury
About 2.8 million Americans suffer a traumatic brain injury each year, ranging from mild concussions to severe injuries.
Annual Probability of USPS Carrier Dog Attack
About 5,300 postal workers are attacked by dogs each year, making dog attacks a top safety concern for mail carriers.
Annual Probability of Venomous Snake Bite in the US
About 7,000-8,000 venomous snake bites occur in the US each year, causing about 5 deaths. Most bites are from rattlesnakes.
Annual Probability of Workplace Injury
About 2.7 million non-fatal workplace injuries and illnesses occur in the US each year, a rate of about 2.7 per 100 full-time workers.
Annual Probability of Wrong-Way Driver Fatal Crash
About 400 people die each year in wrong-way driving crashes on US highways, most involving impaired drivers.
Annual Probability of Your Car Being Recalled
About 25% of registered vehicles have an open recall at any time. Over 30 million vehicles are recalled each year.
Annual Probability of Your Car Being Totaled
About 1% of insured vehicles are declared a total loss each year due to accidents, theft, or natural disasters.
Annual Probability of a Black Ice-Related Accident
About 116,000 injuries and 1,300 deaths per year are attributed to icy road conditions, with black ice being particularly dangerous.
Annual Probability of a Car-Deer Collision
About 1 in 143 drivers is involved in a car-deer collision each year, with about 1.5 million such collisions annually.
Annual Probability of a Child Choking on a Hot Dog
Hot dogs are the leading cause of food-related choking deaths in children under 14, causing about 17% of choking fatalities.
Annual Probability of a Dog Bite Requiring Medical Attention
About 4.5 million dog bites occur annually in the US, with about 800,000 requiring medical attention and 30,000-40,000 requiring reconstructive surgery.
Annual Probability of a Drone-Related Incident
About 2,500 drone incidents and close encounters are reported to the FAA each year, with injuries still relatively rare.
Annual Probability of a Home Natural Gas Leak
About 2% of homes with natural gas service experience a detectable gas leak each year. Gas leaks cause about 17 deaths and 286 injuries annually.
Annual Probability of a Parking Lot Accident
About 3% of drivers are involved in a parking lot accident each year. Parking lots account for about 20% of all car accidents.
Annual Probability of a Pet-Related ER Visit
About 86,000 Americans visit the ER each year due to pet-related injuries, most commonly from tripping over or being pulled by dogs.
Annual Probability of a Tree Falling on Your House
About 1 in 500 homes experience damage from a falling tree or large branch each year, often during storms.
Probability of Being Bitten by an Animal (Non-Fatal)
About 4.5 million dog bites occur annually in the US, with roughly 800,000 requiring medical attention.
Probability of Being Injured in a Bicycle Accident (Annual)
Among regular cyclists, the annual risk of an injury requiring emergency treatment is about 1 in 333, mostly from collisions with motor vehicles.
Probability of Being Injured in a Car Crash (Annual)
About 1 in 125 Americans is injured in a motor vehicle crash each year, totaling roughly 2.5 million injuries annually.
Probability of Crash While Texting and Driving
Texting while driving makes a crash 23 times more likely. About 9% of fatal crashes involve a distracted driver.
Probability of Death When Not Wearing a Seatbelt in a Crash
About 45% of people killed in car crashes were not wearing seatbelts, despite seatbelt use being at 91.6% nationally.
Probability of Developing Tennis Elbow
About 1-3% of the population develops tennis elbow (lateral epicondylitis) each year, mostly between ages 30-50.
Probability of Dying as a Pedestrian in a Vehicle Crash
The lifetime odds of dying as a pedestrian struck by a vehicle are about 1 in 161. Pedestrian deaths have been rising.
Probability of Dying from Accidental Gun Discharge
The lifetime odds of dying from an unintentional firearms discharge are about 1 in 8,527 in the US.
Probability of Dying from Accidental Poisoning
The lifetime odds of dying from accidental poisoning are about 1 in 140, driven largely by opioid and drug overdoses.
Probability of Dying from Choking on Food
The lifetime odds of dying from choking on food are approximately 1 in 2,960, with children and elderly at highest risk.
Probability of Dying from Drowning
The lifetime odds of dying from drowning are about 1 in 1,006. Drowning is the leading cause of death for children ages 1-4.
Probability of Dying from Electrocution
The lifetime odds of dying from electrocution are approximately 1 in 12,200, with construction and electrical workers facing the highest risk.
Probability of Dying from a Bee or Wasp Sting
The lifetime odds of dying from a bee, wasp, or hornet sting are about 1 in 53,989, primarily from severe allergic reactions (anaphylaxis).
Probability of Dying from a Dog Bite or Attack
The lifetime odds of dying from a dog bite or attack are about 1 in 69,016. About 4.5 million dog bites occur annually in the US.
Probability of Dying from a Fall
Falls are the third leading cause of unintentional injury death with lifetime odds of about 1 in 84, primarily affecting older adults.
Probability of Dying in a Car Crash
The lifetime odds of dying in a motor vehicle crash are about 1 in 93 in the United States.
Probability of Dying in a Distracted Driving Crash
Distracted driving kills about 3,300 people annually in the US, roughly 1 in 102,000 per year, though underreporting is common.
Probability of Dying in a Fire or from Smoke Inhalation
The lifetime odds of dying in a fire or from smoke inhalation are about 1 in 788. Working smoke alarms cut fire death risk in half.
Probability of Dying in a Highway Crash vs. Local Roads
About 55% of traffic fatalities occur on rural roads despite carrying less traffic, while urban interstates are the safest roads per mile.
Probability of Dying in a Motorcycle Crash
The lifetime odds of dying in a motorcycle crash are about 1 in 110, making motorcyclists 29 times more likely to die per mile than car occupants.
Probability of Dying in a Workplace Accident (Annual)
The annual workplace fatality rate is about 3.6 per 100,000 full-time workers. Fishing, logging, and roofing are the most dangerous occupations.
Probability of Dying in an Alcohol-Impaired Driving Crash
About 13,000 people die each year in alcohol-impaired driving crashes in the US, giving roughly a 1 in 33,000 annual risk.
Probability of Experiencing Significant Back Pain/Injury
About 8% of American adults experience a significant episode of back pain each year, and 80% will have back pain at some point.
Probability of Experiencing a Home Fire
About 1 in 250 US homes has a reported fire each year, with cooking being the leading cause of home fires.
Probability of Falling If You're Over 65
About 28% of adults aged 65 and older fall each year, resulting in 3 million emergency department visits and 36,000 deaths.
Probability of Fatal Crash Occurring at Night
About 49% of fatal traffic crashes occur at night, despite only 25% of driving occurring during dark hours.
Probability of Getting a Stress Fracture
Stress fractures account for up to 20% of sports medicine clinic visits, most commonly affecting runners and military recruits.
Probability of Injury from an Exotic Pet
Exotic pets (reptiles, primates, large cats) cause thousands of injuries per year in the US, with reptile bites leading the count.
Probability of Runner's Knee Among Runners
About 25% of recreational runners develop patellofemoral pain syndrome (runner's knee) each year.
Probability of Tearing Your ACL
About 200,000-250,000 ACL injuries occur annually in the US, giving roughly a 1 in 1,470 annual risk for the general population.
Probability of a Burn Injury Requiring Medical Treatment
About 486,000 burn injuries receive medical treatment annually in the US, with cooking-related burns being the most common type.
Probability of a Car Crash in Snow or Ice
Snow and icy pavement contribute to about 17% of all weather-related vehicle crashes, causing roughly 900 deaths annually.
Probability of a Choking Emergency on Food
About 5,300 people die from choking each year in the US, with food being the most common cause. Hot dogs, grapes, and nuts are top risks for children.
Probability of a Crash at an Intersection
About 40% of all traffic crashes and 21% of traffic fatalities occur at or near intersections.
Probability of a Fatal Car Crash in Rain
Wet pavement contributes to about 70% of weather-related crashes and 34% of weather-related fatalities in the US annually.
Probability of a Ladder Fall Injury
About 500,000 ladder fall injuries occur annually in the US, with about 300 deaths, making ladders the most common cause of fall-from-height injuries.
Probability of a Rotator Cuff Tear
About 22% of people have a rotator cuff tear by age 60, increasing to over 50% by age 80, often without symptoms.
Probability of a Sports-Related Concussion
There are an estimated 1.6-3.8 million sports-related concussions per year in the US, with football, soccer, and hockey at highest risk.
Probability of a Teen Driver Being in a Fatal Crash
Teen drivers (16-19) have a fatal crash rate roughly 3 times higher than drivers aged 20 and older, at about 1 in 4,900 per year.
Probability of an Electric Vehicle Catching Fire
About 25 per 100,000 electric vehicles experience a fire, compared to about 1,530 per 100,000 for gasoline cars. EVs are significantly less fire-prone.