LOW RISKANNUAL

Probability of Dying in a Highway Crash vs. Local Roads

1 in 114,000

Annual probability in US

About 55% of traffic fatalities occur on rural roads despite carrying less traffic, while urban interstates are the safest roads per mile.

Approximately 19,000 fatal crashes occur on rural roads annually in the United States, accounting for about 55% of all traffic deaths despite rural roads carrying far less traffic. Per mile driven, rural roads are roughly 2-3 times more dangerous than urban roads due to higher speeds, two-lane configurations, less lighting, and longer emergency response times.

Interstate highways, despite their higher speeds, are actually the safest road type per mile driven. Their controlled access, divided lanes, gradual curves, and wide shoulders contribute to a fatality rate roughly 60% lower than other road types. Most fatal crashes occur on non-interstate roads, particularly two-lane rural highways.

Head-on collisions, run-off-road crashes, and intersection crashes are the most deadly crash types on rural roads. Seatbelt use, speed management, road design improvements (rumble strips, cable median barriers, roundabouts), and improved EMS response times are the most effective countermeasures. Since 2014, rural fatality rates have remained stubbornly high even as urban roads improved.

Use This in a Decision

Plug this probability into our expected value calculator to make a data-driven decision.

Start a Decision