Aviation & Travel
Risk statistics for air travel, commercial flights, and transportation-related incidents.
11 probabilities in this category
Probability of Being on a Flight with an Emergency Landing
About 1 in 1,000 commercial flights makes an unscheduled or emergency landing, most commonly for medical emergencies.
Probability of Dying in a Bicycle Accident
The lifetime odds of dying in a bicycle accident are about 1 in 3,825. Most cyclist deaths involve collisions with motor vehicles.
Probability of Dying in a Bus Accident
The lifetime odds of dying as a bus occupant in a crash are approximately 1 in 96,000. Buses are among the safest ground transportation modes.
Probability of Dying in a Plane Crash
The odds of dying in a commercial plane crash are about 1 in 11 million per flight, making flying the safest form of long-distance travel.
Probability of Dying in a Train Accident as Passenger
The lifetime odds of dying as a train passenger in the US are extremely low at approximately 1 in 243,765. Rail is one of the safest travel modes.
Probability of Dying on a Cruise Ship
The odds of dying on a cruise ship voyage are approximately 1 in 6.25 million, making cruising a very safe form of travel.
Probability of Filing a Travel Insurance Claim
About 10% of travel insurance policyholders file a claim, with trip cancellation and medical emergencies being the most common reasons.
Probability of Having a Rental Car Accident
About 5% of rental car periods involve some type of damage incident, from minor scratches to major accidents.
Probability of Missing a Flight
About 1% of airline passengers are no-shows for their flights, including those who intentionally or accidentally miss their departure.
Probability of Rental Car Damage Claim
About 8% of rental car transactions involve a damage claim, most commonly for minor scratches, dents, and windshield chips.
Probability of an Airline Losing Your Luggage
Airlines mishandle about 6 bags per 1,000 passengers (0.6%), though the vast majority are returned within 48 hours.