LOW RISKPER EVENT

Probability of Finding a Four-Leaf Clover

1 in 10,000

Per-event probability in GLOBAL

The odds of finding a four-leaf clover among regular three-leaf clovers are approximately 1 in 10,000, though they tend to cluster.

The probability of any individual clover having four leaves instead of the standard three is approximately 1 in 10,000 (0.01%), based on botanical research. This rarity is what gives four-leaf clovers their cultural association with good luck, a tradition dating back centuries in Western culture.

Four-leaf clovers result from a combination of genetics and environmental factors. Some clover plants are genetically predisposed to produce extra leaves, meaning four-leaf clovers tend to cluster in certain patches. If you find one, look nearby for more. Five-leaf and six-leaf clovers exist but are even rarer (estimated at 1 in 100,000 and 1 in 1 million respectively).

The record for most four-leaf clovers collected is held by Edward Martin, who found over 160,000 in his lifetime. His success illustrates that once you develop a search pattern and know where to look, the effective odds improve considerably. The key is to scan patches quickly rather than examining individual clovers, as the asymmetry of a four-leaf clover will stand out to a trained eye.

Use This in a Decision

Plug this probability into our expected value calculator to make a data-driven decision.

Start a Decision