Probability of Your Job Being at High Risk from Automation

Research from the Brookings Institution and various consulting firms estimates that approximately 25% of US jobs (about 36 million positions) face high exposure to automation from AI and robotics. However, "high exposure" does not mean full displacement: most studies estimate that 10% or fewer of jobs will be entirely automated, while many more will be significantly transformed.

Jobs at highest risk include data entry clerks, telemarketers, cashiers, bookkeepers, file clerks, and certain manufacturing roles. The emergence of large language models (LLMs) has expanded the range of tasks susceptible to automation to include many white-collar tasks previously considered safe, such as writing, coding, customer service, legal research, and financial analysis.

Jobs least susceptible to automation tend to require physical dexterity in unpredictable environments (plumbers, electricians), emotional intelligence and human judgment (therapists, social workers), creative problem-solving, and complex decision-making. The World Economic Forum estimates that AI will create about 97 million new jobs while displacing about 85 million by 2025. Adaptability, continuous learning, and developing skills that complement AI capabilities are key strategies for career resilience.